St Bonaventure 
W-L: (11- 8) PR = 82.3944
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 12-14
213 H LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 12- 2
218 A Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 7- 9
221 A Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 13-14
225 H Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 11- 4
228 A Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 14- 6
304 A Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 15- 5
307 A Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 8- 6
311 A Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 6-12
314 H VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 6-15
318 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 14- 9
321 A Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 12- 8
328 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 6-19
404 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 12-13
411 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 16- 8
418 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 19- 9
425 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 15- 4
430 N George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 10- 8
501 N VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 11-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Colgate 12-14 -2 2 -- -4.42
213 H LIU 12- 2 10 9 1.16
218 A Binghamton 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.02
221 A Bucknell 13-14 -1 -3 2.00
225 H Robert Morris 11- 4 7 8 -1.32
228 A Niagara 14- 6 8 3 ++ 5.32
304 A Furman 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.99
307 A Davidson 8- 6 2 -4 ++ 5.55
311 A Cornell 6-12 -6 -10 + 3.72
314 H VCU 6-15 -9 1 --- -9.56
318 H Duquesne 14- 9 5 11 -- -5.66
321 A Rhode Island 12- 8 4 3 1.43
328 A Richmond 6-19 -13 -9 -- -4.05
404 H St Josephs (PA) 12-13 -1 0 -1.15
411 A George Mason 16- 8 8 5 + 2.95
418 A La Salle 19- 9 10 9 0.60
425 H George Washington 15- 4 11 4 +++ 7.14
430 N George Washington 10- 8 2 2 -0.49
501 N VCU 11-18 -7 -1 --- -6.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 H VCU 6-15 -9 1 --- -9.56
501 N VCU 11-18 -7 -1 --- -6.19
206 H Colgate 12-14 -2 2 -- -4.42
318 H Duquesne 14- 9 5 11 -- -5.66
328 A Richmond 6-19 -13 -9 -- -4.05
218 A Binghamton 7- 9 -2 1 - -3.02
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
425 H George Washington 15- 4 11 4 +++ 7.14
228 A Niagara 14- 6 8 3 ++ 5.32
304 A Furman 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.99
307 A Davidson 8- 6 2 -4 ++ 5.55
311 A Cornell 6-12 -6 -10 + 3.72
411 A George Mason 16- 8 8 5 + 2.95
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 12-14 -18.56 21.61 -1.37 0.91 -9.08
3 H LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 12- 2 -24.98 15.19 -1.37 0.91 25.20
3 A Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 7- 9 -19.89 20.27 1.37 0.91 -8.45
3 A Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 13-14 -15.88 24.29 1.37 0.91 -6.61
3 H Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 11- 4 -24.46 15.71 -1.37 0.91 26.16
3 A Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 14- 6 -21.55 18.62 1.37 0.91 36.44
3 A Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 15- 5 -22.89 17.28 1.37 0.91 34.01
3 A Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 8- 6 -15.32 24.85 1.37 0.91 47.81
3 A Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 6-12 -9.15 31.02 1.37 0.91 -3.55
3 H VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 6-15 -16.70 23.47 -1.37 0.91 -8.24
3 H Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 14- 9 -26.79 13.37 -1.37 0.91 21.89
3 A Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 12- 8 -21.45 18.72 1.37 0.91 36.63
3 A Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 6-19 -9.93 30.24 1.37 0.91 -3.90
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 12-13 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 0.91 -8.05
3 A George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 16- 8 -23.93 16.24 1.37 0.91 32.11
3 A La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 19- 9 -28.27 11.90 1.37 0.91 24.19
3 H George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 15- 4 -19.99 20.17 -1.37 0.91 34.29
3 N George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 10- 8 -19.99 20.17 -0.00 0.91 36.79
3 N VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 11-18 -16.70 23.47 -0.00 0.91 -7.61
------
300.03
|
winning pts = 355.5201 losing points = -55.4920
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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